Heat Pump Gas Furnace

QUESTION:

I have a house in the design stage and will soon have to deal with a HVAC company. The house will be located in San Ramon, Ca. Now that gas is no longer regulated, it is not a done-deal that gas is cheaper than electricity. San Ramon, while in the San Francisco Bay Area, does need cooling. Since cooling is required and the environment doesn't get very cold
(generally in the 40's to upper 30's during winter nights), a heat pump sounds like the way to go. However, my gut feeling is a gas furnace with AC will be more reliable in the sense that the gas furnace is virtually maintenance free (in my experience) while AC is pretty flaky. All that said, is there any data regarding which method (gas/AC versus heat pump) is more economical to operate.
Regarding heat pumps, I've noticed only Lennox bothers to state a noise level. However, is a Lennox really quieter than an Amana? For new construction, the price of the unit isn't that big of a deal. I rather have performance and minimal headaches. I've already read enough the internet to determine you can't find the most trouble free heat pump. There is no consensus of quality out there, and none of the manufacturers has mtbf data on the net.

ANSWER:

However beware that with a gas furnace/heat pump combination you get what is called an "add on" heat pump system. With that set up the heat pump can never run simultaneously with the gas furnace and energy savings are lower. With an "all electric heat pump" the auxiliary heat is electric, the air handler is designed such that the indoor coil is upstream of the heater elements and both systems can run simultaneously when required. This is more efficient than locking out the energy efficient heat pump every time back up heat is required. This is a considerable energy savings issue over the life time of the equipment however is probably less of a concern in California than in say Canada. The reliability of a system is dependent on not just the manufacturer but to a great extent on the quality of the installation and the service and maintenance that is provided.


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